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Presidential Election Simulation - Condorcet tally - Vote Now!

I set up a Presidential election simulation including all six candidates who are likely to be on enough ballots, nationwide, to materially affect or even win the November 2004 Presidential election. You rank your preferences; the winner will be determined by Condorcet's Method, which attempts to find the closest thing possible to a "consensus winner." Vote now!
Only the major parties are satisfied with the plurality voting system that is used to decide most elections in the US. One perverse outcome of this system is that more and more people find themselves voting to block a candidate they fear or despise, instead of voting in support of a candidate they actually like and endorse. Our current voting system is corrputed by the "wasted vote fallacy": if you vote for a candidate you actually like, instead of one who is "electable," you are told that your vote will be irrelevant, "wasted" -- especially if you think that defeating a rival candidate is important.

Reformers have proposed many alternative voting systems, in an effort to better determine the public will and eliminate "wasted vote" fears. You may have heard about IRV (Instant Runoff Voting) and "Approval Voting," to name only two. Another interesting system is "Condorcet's Method."

In a Condorcet election, each voter ranks the ballot choices in order of personal preference, and then, for each ballot, the election administrators determine the winners of all the possible two-candidate contests. Each candidate accumulates a total win-loss record, relative to the rival candidates, as each new ballot (set of preferences) is considered. Except in case of ties, the basic Condorcet winner is the candidate who wins the largest number of those individual contests, with all ballots being considered.

The Condorcet method seeks to identify candidates with the greatest amount of true support among the voting population, and to make it safe for people to vote their consciences. You can, for example, feel free to rank your favorite candidate first and your favorite "electable" candidate second.

At the webpage linked, below, I have used a publicly available Condorcet election simulator to set up a US Presidential election that includes the six candidates who will be ballot-qualified in enough states to materially affect the election -- or win outright -- in the electoral college. I am curious to see the "consensus winner" that the Condorcet method would pick, given a large and fairly broad sample of voter choices. Would Bush or Kerry inevitably win, or might a third-party or independent candidate give the big candidates a run for their money?

Please rank the candidates in your order of preference, at the webpage linked below. There, you can also learn more about the Condorcet method, as well as determine the results of the election so far, down to the level of detail of individual (anonymized) ballots, if you wish. Who knows if the people's choice will win in the real election in November? But perhaps, whoever he is, he will win the Condorcet contest. Please join me in this experiment, and let's see what happens! Pass the link along to your friends and associates: the more participants, the more accurate the results can be. Thanks, and may the best candidate win!
 
 


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